Peru Elecciones : Apoyo y CPI muestran resultados divergentes

UPDATE 2-Peru's polls split on presidential election


Thu Jun 2, 2011 4:50pm EDT

(Note: Election law forbids publication of polls in Peru a week prior to June 5 voting)

* One poll shows Humala moving into first place
* Another poll shows Fujimori widening lead
* Markets volatile before Sunday vote (Recasts, adds CPI poll)
By Teresa Cespedes

LIMA, June 2 (Reuters) - Peru's presidential race tightened further on Thursday, with one poll showing left-wing Ollanta Humala moving into first place and another saying right-wing Keiko Fujimori was widening her lead before Sunday's run-off election.

An Ipsos poll obtained by Reuters early in the day sent financial markets soaring on news that the daughter of jailed former President Alberto Fujimori had extended her lead to 2.2 percentage points from 1 point over the weekend.

Peru's main stock index .IGRA rose more than 7 percent and the sol PEN=PEN currency gained 1 percent against the dollar as investors cheered what they thought were improving prospects for Fujimori, who is supported by the business community in the fast-growing economy. [ID:nN02283807]

The latest Ipsos poll of 3,000 people has a margin of error of 1.8 percent and said Fujimori was at 51.1 percent to Humala's 48.9 percent. It was conducted May 28-June 1.

Investors credit Fujimori's father with opening the economy to trade and slaying hyperinflation in the 1990s, before his government collapsed in a cloud of corruption and human rights crimes stemming from a crackdown on insurgents.

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Full campaign coverage [ID:nVOTE2PE]
Key political risks to watch in Peru [ID:nRISKPE]
Factbox on latest polls [ID:nPOLLSPE]

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As market were closing late in the day, a CPI poll showed Fujimori had lost the lead she had in an earlier reading by the pollster and was trailing Humala, a former army officer, by 1 percentage point. The CPI poll of 2,200 people showed Humala at 50.5 percent and Fujimori at 49.5 percent, but that lead was within the margin of error of 1.8 percentage point. The latest CPI poll was conducted June 1-2.

Humala has tried to distance himself from his one-time political mentor, Venezuela's socialist President Hugo Chavez, and persuade Wall Street investors he would keep free-market economic policies in place.
Pollsters say about 10 percent of voters will abstain or spoil their ballots, and the candidates are battling for a small sliver of undecided voters to swing the outcome.

(Reporting by Teresa Cespedes; Editing by Eric Walsh)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/02/peru-election-poll-idUSN0229651420110602

Peru Elecciones : CPI muestra ligero margen de Humala

Peru CPI poll shows Humala with tiny lead - source

Thu Jun 2, 2011 3:58pm EDT

(Note: Election law forbids publication of polls in Peru a week prior to June 5 voting)

(Reuters) - Left-wing Ollanta Humala has pulled ahead of right-wing Keiko Fujimori, a poll by CPI showed on Thursday before Sunday's presidential election, though the race is still technically tied, a source familiar with the data said.

The former army officer had 50.5 percent of the vote in the poll, compared to 49.5 percent for the daughter of jailed former President Alberto Fujimori.

Polls by other survey firms this week have shown a technical tie between the candidates.
(Reporting by Teresa Cespedes)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/02/peru-election-cpi-idUSN0228642520110602

Peru Elecciones - Encuestas jueves 2 de junio (Ipsos -Apoyo )

Sube el margen de Keiko a 1.8 puntos

Peru Fujimori's widens lead in Ipsos poll -sources

(Note: Election law forbids publication of polls in Peru a week prior to June 5 voting)



Thu Jun 2, 2011 10:49am EDT

(Note: Election law forbids publication of polls in Peru a week prior to June 5 voting)

(Reuters) - A poll by survey firm Ipsos showed right-wing Keiko Fujimori gaining in Peru's presidential race with 51 percent of the vote to left-wing Ollanta Humala's 49 percent, sources familiar with the data said on Thursday.

A previous poll this week by Ipsos showed Fujimori with a 1 point lead.

The latest poll has a margin of error of 1.8 percent, meaning the two candidates are still in a technical tie before Sunday's election. (Reporting by Teresa Cespedes; Editing by Vicki Allen)


http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/02/peru-election-poll-idUSN0227284820110602